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relation to the recently completed Danish Price History Project. If one define price stability as an inflation rate around 2 … four decades following the end of the Second World War where inflation expectations lost their anchor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321177
In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation …-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures … time horizons. These results have implications for short-term inflation forecasts. By estimating confidence intervals in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322620
A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … exaggerated. Our main findings are that apparent longmemory is quite resistant to level shifts, although for a few inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324616
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a … inflation at the cost of the funded country. In response to these conflicting interests about inflation, inflation risk may rise … with the level of debt in the PAYG country. Higher inflation risk harms both countries. Actually, in contrast to the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326045
a very limited extent. In order to ensure that the inflation rate remains reliable, European guidelines were drawn up …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268166
We study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on euro area inflation and how it compares to the experiences of other …-output linkages, affecting both trade and inflation; (2) inflation can be higher under sector-specific labor shortages relative to a … domestic aggregate demand shocks in explaining euro area inflation over 2020-21; and (4) international trade did not respond to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013432954
policy to U.S. inflation over the December 2019-June 2022 period. Model calibrations show that aggregate demand shocks … explain roughly two-thirds of total model-based inflation, and that the fiscal stimulus contributed half or more of the total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014302772
Ausgleich von Preisschocks durchsetzt, zu hoher Inflation und letztlich zu harter restriktiver Geldpolitik mit Arbeitslosigkeit … side of capital. The experience of the inflation wave and oil price shocks of the 1970s shows that a wage policy that … enforces full compensation of price shocks through higher wages leads to high inflation and ultimately to harsh restrictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331142
time. When the inflation rate for 2022 was re-referenced to the 2020 base year, it stood at 6.9% and was one percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014333761