model (DFM) for forecasting the euro area GDP from monthly indicators. The use of the Kalman smoother allows us to deal with …

encouraging. In a pseudo out-of-sample exercise, our approach beats relevant benchmarks for forecasting CPI inflation and an …

information. Finally, when forecasting the headline CPI, our UIG for China outperforms traditional core measures over different …

This Paper proposes a new forecasting method that exploits information from a large panel of time series. The method is …

use of measures of underlying in?ation to formulate monetary policy and assist in forecasting observed in?ation. Recent … disaggregated price indices for European countries. We then assess the forecasting ability of these factor estimates against other … 12 to 18 months is adopted as a valid criterion to assess forecasting. Empirical results for the ?ve largest euro area …

-time forecasting exercise, the authors show that including additional factors-that reflect financial sector conditions …