Showing 1 - 10 of 49,532
estimate vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) and state space models, which are not misspecified, using simulated data … VARMA models. However, state space algorithms can outperform SVARs. In particular, the CCA subspace method consistently … used in the literature make identification via long-run restrictions difficult for any method. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063081
estimate vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) and state space models, which are not misspecified, using simulated data … VARMA models. However, state space algorithms can outperform SVARs. In particular, the CCA subspace method consistently … used in the literature make identification via long-run restrictions difficult for any method. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143685
Equilibrium business cycle models have typically less shocks than variables. As pointed out by Altug, 1989, and Sargent, 1989, if variables are measured with error, this characteristic implies that the model solution for measured variables has a factor structure. This Paper compares estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504708
The paper investigates the sources of macroeconomic forecast errors in Germany. The predictions of the so-called "six leading" research institutes are analyzed. The forecast errors are discussed within an aggregate demand/supply scheme. Structural Vector Autoregressive Models are estimated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260630
The paper investigates the sources of macroeconomic forecast errors in Germany. The predictions of the so-called "six leading" research institutes are analyzed. The forecast errors are discussed within an aggregate demand/supply scheme. Structural Vector Autoregressive Models are estimated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755268
The paper investigates the sources of macroeconomic forecast errors in Germany. The predictions of the so-called "six leading" research institutes are analyzed. The forecast errors are discussed within an aggregate demand/supply scheme. Structural Vector Autoregressive Models are estimated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476550
This paper proposes a testing strategy for the null hypothesis that a multivariate linear rational expectations (LRE) model may have a unique stable solution (determinacy) against the alternative of multiple stable solutions (indeterminacy). The testing problem is addressed by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052239
This paper analyses identification for multivariate unobserved components models in which the innovations to trend and … cycle are correlated. We address order and rank criteria as well as potential non-uniqueness of the reduced-form VARMA model …. Identification is shown for lag lengths larger than one in case of a diagonal vector autoregressive cycle. We also discuss UC models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441877
This paper analyses identification for multivariate unobserved components models in which the innovations to trend and … cycle are correlated. We address order and rank criteria as well as potential non-uniqueness of the reduced-form VARMA model …. Identification is shown for lag lengths larger than one in case of a diagonal vector autoregressive cycle. We also discuss UC models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491916
The identification of a VAR requires differentiating between correlation and causation. This paper presents a method to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328494