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Did real overvaluation contribute to the 1991 currency crisis in India? This paper seeks an answer by constructing the equilibrium real exchange rate, using an error correction model and a technique developed by Gonzalo and Granger (1995). The results are affirmative and the evidence indicates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403497
This paper applies cointegration analysis and error-correction modeling to investigate the behavior of broad money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403616
Real exchange rates exhibit important low-frequency fluctuations. This makes the analysis of real exchange rates at all frequencies a more sound exercise than the typical business cycle one, which compares actual and simulated data after the Hodrick-Prescott filter is applied to both. A simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396942
This paper adopts the bounds testing procedure developed by Pesaran et al. (2001) to test the stability of the long-run money demand for Ghana. The results provide strong evidence for the presence of a stable, well-identified long-run money demand during a period of substantial changes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397496
In this paper, we derive evidence on the integration of international stock markets from the cointegration properties … of international stock market prices. Using the multivariate cointegration test of Johansen, we find that the set of six … subgroup analyses also indicate that the cointegration relationships have become stronger over time. This is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395829
-economy framework. Based on the cointegration and weak-exogeneity test results, short-run dynamic error-correction models are specified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399799
This paper analyzes broad money demand (M2) in Guyana from January 1990 to September 1999; a period marked by deep transformations aimed at shifting Guyana from a centralized to a market economy. The paper develops a stable error-correction model based on a long-run cointegrating vector of money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399832
cointegration approach. It finds that labor flows, and notably flows from outside the labor market, are important determinants of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401436
This paper analyzes the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the trade account. Research prior to this paper did not consider that the components of private and public demand in the import demand equation exhibit different elasticities. Using pooled mean group estimation for annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402247
The development of empirical foundations to the conduct of monetary policy in Tunisia is the central concern of this paper. Finding stable money demand functions, it broadly corroborates the choice of monetary aggregates as intermediate targets of monetary policy by the Tunisian Central Bank. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403786