Inflation is a far from homogeneous phenomenon, a fact often neglected in modeling consumer price inflation. Using a novel methodology grounded in theory, the ten sub-components of the consumer price index (excluding mortgage interest rates), are modeled separately and forecast,...

We show that a combination of temporariness and spending pressure is intrinsic to the aid relationship. In our analysis, recipients rationally discount the pronouncements of donors about the duration of their commitments because in equilibrium they know that some donors will honor those...

A person learns by trial and error if he occasionally tries out new strategies, rejecting choices that are “erroneous” in the sense that they do not lead to higher payoffs. In a game, however, strategies can become erroneous due to a change of behavior by someone else. Such passive errors...

Moroccan manufacturing firms generally choose to incorporate under one of two legalforms: ‘Société Anonyme’ (SA) and ‘Société À Responsibilité Limitée’ (SARL). This thesis is about that choice and its consequence for firms’ access to bank overdraft facilities.In 2001, Morocco...

In this paper, we study the detailed distributional properties of integrated non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (intOU) processes. Both exact and approximate results are given. We emphasize the study of the tail behaviour of the intOU process. Our results have many potential applications in...

Este artigo tem como objetivo a realização dos testes de hipóteses de convergênciaabsoluta, condicional e sigma convergência, das taxas de crescimento per capita daagropecuária dos Estados brasileiros, ao longo do período de 1980 a 2004. Esses modelosforam testados contemplando a...