discusses the result’s implications for users of forecaster surveys and for the literature on information aggregation. …

) revisits the measurement of global house price inflation and the modeling of the determinants of house price inflation using …

statistics for sequential testing. We show that, for most types of data generating processes in samples with as low as 50 … time series works well in large samples, but they found substantial deviations in both the size and power of their tests in … smaller samples. We propose modifying their methodology to deal with small samples by using Monte Carlo simulations to …

The paper uses survey data to analyze whether financial market expectations on government budget deficits changed in …

levels. This paper reviews Turkey’s policy performance in terms of growth, inflation, debt, fiscal and financial sector …

posterior inclusion probabilities for all the relevant regressors, and parameter estimates very close to their true values …