Kannan, Prakash; Köhler-Geib, Fritzi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where … the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on investor uncertainty, determines the occurrence of contagion …. Incidences of surprise crises lead investors to doubt the accuracy of their informationgathering technology, which endogenously …