The paper presents the methodology for attaching probability distribution or intervals of variation to point forecasts. This methodology might prove significant for countries that have suffered deep structural transformations in their not very distant past. For these models, stability is more...

The paper aims to estimate the New Keynesian Phillips curve in the case of Romanian economy. The empirical model estimates simultaneously the potential output and the output gap; the natural rate of unemployment and the cyclical unemployment as an Okun Law type relationship; and the New Phillips...

With the collapse of the socialist system in Eastern Europe and the advancement of the European Union integration process of the formerly communist countries, many of which are increasingly likely to join the single European market in the foreseeable future, the informal sector in transitional...

Macromodel of the Romanian Market Economy***** In this article we present only the economic forecast of the variable of interest. For a description of the model see RJEF, No. 1/2007 of the [4]. The macromodel estimates the short and medium-term economic implications for internal policies and of...

Macromodel of the Romanian Market Economy***** In this article we present only the economic forecast of the variable of interest; for a description of the model see the previous number of the Journal [4]. The macromodel estimates the short and medium-term economic implications for internal...

Motivated by the importance of the “displaced worker” phenomenon in both the East and the West, in this paper the authors analyze a model of job search behavior where the unemployed worker has imperfect knowledge of the wage offer distribution. This paper attempts within the limits imposed...

The paper presents the yearly and monthly forecast of the Romanian transition economy performed on the basis of the “Dobrescu” macromodel.

In this article we present only the economic forecast of the variable of interest. For a description of the model, see RJEF, No. 1/2007 of [4]. The macromodel estimates the short and medium-term economic implications for internal policies and changes in the international context. This new...