This draft is a summary of the paper entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate. In that paper we show that the Chilean exchange rate has the ability to predict the returns of oil prices and of three additional oil-related products: gasoline, propane and heating oil. The...

Purpose: This paper examines whether the economies of oil-exporting countries respond to oil shocks differently, depending on the country’s political economy factors, such as regional economic alliance, stage of economic development, and the exchange rate regime, using a structural Vector...

This paper investigates the effect of inflation volatility on private sector credit growth. The results indicate that private sector credit growth is positively linked to the one period lagged inflation volatility. Given that past monetary policy actions continue to affect the targeted variables...

The study models the behaviour of the Central Bank of Nigeria. An extended Taylor's framework that accounted for exchange rate dynamics and political risk factors was adopted. In order to capture both ex-ante and ex-post behaviours of the monetary authority in the country, Markov-Switching...

The objective of this study is to examine the impact of exchange rate on Nigeria’s trade balance. Time series data on trade balance, external reserves, exchange rate, money supply and real GDP were used in the analysis and the data were subjected to unit root tests to determine their time...

This paper models the US dollar as a global currency and focuses on the effects of US money supply shock upon China's economy. The special roles of US dollar as a global currency and the special institutional arrangements of China are investigated. Given a positive US money supply shock, both...

This paper develops an economic framework to analyze the exchange rate of virtual currency. Three components are important. First, the current use of virtual currency to make payments. Second, the decision of forward-looking investors to buy virtual currency (thereby effectively regulating its...

The monetary model of exchange rate determination holds that cheap monetary policy of the home country leads to depreciation of the national currency. The study attempts to enquire if the rupee/dollar exchange rate variation as observed in the period of independent float regime in Sri Lanka had...

Facing liquidity trap problems, a number of industrialised countries, including the United States and the United Kingdom, have since 2008 implemented Quantitative Easing (QE) measures in an attempt to improve financing conditions in their overall economy. Although Quantitative Easing policies...

This paper investigates how cryptocurrencies relate to concepts such as bubbles, Ponzi-schemes and digital gold in a tractable model for cryptocurrency prices. Investors in the baseline equilibrium hold coins to sell them at a profit to future users if they anticipate in increase in...