Tests for unit roots in univariate time series with level shifts are proposed and investigated. The level shift is assumed to occur at a known time. It may be a simple one-time shift which can be captured by a dummy variable or it may have a more general form which can be modeled by some general...

If one abstracts from specially organized markets like stock or commodity exchanges, (international) trade relies on bargaining between the interested parties. Whereas earlier the results of bargaining were seen as unpredictable or determined by an at most vaguely defined concept of (relative)...

Stuetzle and Mittal (1979) for ordinary nonparametric kernel regression and Kauermann and Tutz (1996) for nonparametric generalized linear model kernel regression constructed estimators with lower order bias than the usual estimators, without the need for devices such as second derivative...

The problem of estimation of the finite dimensional parameter in a partial linear model is considered. We derive upper and lower bounds for the second minimax order risk and show that the second order minimax estimator is a penalized maximum likelihood estimator. It is well known that the...

A situation in which the regularity in nature can be utilized while competition is to be avoided is modelled by the Parasite game. In this game regular behaviour could enhance guessing nature but strategic randomization is required to avoid being outguessed. In an experiment, 60 pairs of...

A particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series is proposed in this article. The tests have a standard limit distribution and are easy to implement in raw time series. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted, studying the size and the...

MM*STAT ist ein flexibel einsetzbares Tool für Einführungskurse in Statistik im Grundstudium. Folgende konzeptionelle Überlegungen waren dabei von besonderer Bedeutung: Erstens muss die Lehrveranstaltung »Statistik« für Studenten jeder Fachrichtung ein breites Spektrum konkreter...

Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...