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This dissertation is concerned with the forecasting performance of time series models for the price movements of high … successive price changes of at least a predetermined amount. We investigate the forecasting performance of the sophisticated …
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Eight years have passed since the European Central Bank (ECB) launched its Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). The SPF asks a panel of approximately 75 forecasters located in the European Union (EU) for their short- to longer-term expectations for macroeconomic variables such as euro area...
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