We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth are an important feature of the post-war...

Erstmals mit dem Begriff der Chaos-Theorie konfrontiert, stellt man sichoftmals vor, dass damit wohl wissenschaftlich erklärt werde, was sowiesoschon vom Alltag her bekannt ist: Dass nämlich (beinahe) alles im Lebenchaotisch sei oder zumindest zum Chaos hin tendiere. Die Chaos-Theorie...

1. Fragestellung und MotivationDie Übernahme und Transformation von Zinsrisiken ist eine wesentliche Leistung von Finanzdienstleistern.In der Literatur sind zahlreiche Ansätze identifizierbar, die das Zinsänderungsrisiko von Finanzdienstleistern erfassen. Während frühe Arbeiten meist auf...

The merger wave that took place during the first phase of globalization, which lasted from 1895 to 1914, changed the industrial structure in Europe and the U.S. remarkably. Therefore, it is of great importance to assess whether mergers were successful during this period. Noteworthy, studies that...

This comprehensive Handbook presents the current state of art in the theory and methodology of macroeconomic data analysis. It is intended as a reference for graduate students and researchers interested in exploring new methodologies, but can also be employed as a graduate text. The Handbook...

pt. I. Properties of macroeconomic data -- pt. II. Models for macroeconomic data analysis -- pt. III. Estimation and evaluation frameworks in macroeconomics -- pt. IV. Applications I : dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models -- pt. V. Applications II : vector autoregressive models -- pt....