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When the pricing kernel is U-shaped, then expected returns of claims with payout on the upside are negative for strikes beyond a threshold, determined by the slope of the U-shaped kernel in its increasing region, and have negative partial derivative with respect to strike in the increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940716
We document that properly scaled deviations from put-call parity estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER) accurately, by means of a non-parametric theoretically founded identification strategy. The required conditions are that our estimator predicts the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852972
Numerous studies find S-shaped pricing kernels, which is conflicting with standard theory. In contrast to that, based on a novel GARCH model with structural breaks, I show that the pricing kernel is consistently U-shaped. The results are robust to variations in the methodology and hold for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853175
We use simultaneous data from equity, index and option markets in order to estimate a single-factor market model in which idiosyncratic volatility is allowed to be priced. We model the index dynamics' physical distribution as a mean-reverting stochastic volatility process as in Heston (1993),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056816
I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide the first description of the cross-section of risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
Variance premium is studied under a discrete-time consumption-based equilibrium model, with two stochastic volatility factors. The formulas for VIX and variance premium term structure are derived. As an empirical application of the model, the predicion power of VIX and variance premium term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079942
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061074
We develop a conditional capital asset pricing model in continuous-time that allows for stochastic beta exposure. When beta co-moves with market variance and the stochastic discount factor (SDF), beta risk is priced, and the expected return on a stock deviates from the security market line. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646407
In this article, we propose an equilibrium pricing rule for the contingent claims by applying the economic premium principle initiated by Buhlmann (1980). The derivative markets in our model are over-the-counter (OTC) markets and have counterparty risks. We reconstruct the economic premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999558