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We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing that is aimed at assessing banks’ capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890804
and accurate simulation due to fundamental issues in small probability estimations. In this paper, we propose a simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406014
We propose a new method for analysing multi-period stress scenarios for portfolio credit risk more systematically than in the current practice of macro stress testing. Our method quantifies the plausibility of scenarios by considering the distance of the stress scenario from an average scenario....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142061
The traditional loans pricing methods are usually based on risk measures of individual loan's characteristics without considering the correlation between the defaults of different loans and the contribution of individual loans to the entire loan portfolio. In this study, using account-level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175768
During the last two years, credit risk has been playing a key role in risk management issues. Practitioners, academics and regulators have been fully involved in the process of developing, studying and analysing credit risk models in order to find the elements, which characterize a sound risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727992
The stochastic simulation model suggested by Bolder (2003) for the analysis of the federal government's debt … nonetheless complicated by two challenges. First, performing optimization with traditional techniques in a simulation setting is … address a number of policy questions that could not be fully addressed with the current stochastic simulation engine. -- Debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463632
The stochastic simulation model suggested by Bolder (2003) for the analysis of the federal government's debt … nonetheless complicated by two challenges. First, performing optimization with traditional techniques in a simulation setting is … address a number of policy questions that could not be fully addressed with the current stochastic simulation engine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725872
This paper proposes validation using simulation based indirect estimation. It uses typical characteristic moments of … financial market data to assess the similarity of simulation outcomes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009138391
regression and simulation-based least-squares Monte Carlo method by using put-call symmetry. The results show that, for a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022212
Market liquidity risk, the difficulty or cost of trading assets in crises, has been recognized as an important factor in risk management. Literature has already proposed several models to include liquidity risk in the standard Value-at-Risk framework. While theoretical comparisons between those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870304