We derive a measure of aggregate systemic risk, designated CATFIN, that complements bank-specific systemic risk measures by forecasting macroeconomic downturns six months into the future using out-of-sample tests conducted with U.S., European, and Asian bank data. Consistent with bank...

Limbo loans are defined as delinquent mortgage loans that have not progressed to resolution. We utilize a unique legal database for Florida and find no support for resolution delays from bottlenecks or bank capital constraints. Instead, the impairment of property rights explains both the...

The 1998 passage of the Land Revaluation Law in Japan provided regulatory forbearance to Japanese banks in the form of a regulatory capital infusion. We test whether this divergence from international bank capital requirements had an impact on Japanese bank lending behavior. Because this natural...