Showing 41 - 50 of 1,116
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062267
Based on the APARCH model and two outlier detection methods, we computereliable time series of volatility asymmetry for 49 countries with relatively few ob-servations. Results show a steady increase in the asymmetry over the years for mostcountries. We nd that economic development and market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009022138
We observe that the standard variant of Prospect Theory cannot describe very risk-averse choices in simple lotteries. This makes it diffcult to accommodate it with experimental data. Using an exponential value function can solve this problem and allows to cover the whole spectrum of risk-averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858200
We prove that under very weak conditions optimal financial products have to be co-monotone with the inverted state price density. Optimality is meant in the sense of the maximization of an arbitrary preference model, e.g. Expected Utility Theory or Prospect Theory. The proof is based on methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858203
We study how the framework of classical game theory changes when the preferences of the players are described by Prospect Theory instead of Expected Utility Theory. Specifically, we study the influence of framing effect and probability weighting on the existence and specific structure of Nash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858351
Prospect Theory is a widely accepted descriptive framework to model decisions under risk. However, it is limited to situations with finitely many outcomes. Moreover, it is discontinuous, i.e., small changes in a lottery can produce large differences in its utility, contrary to experiments. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858592
We demonstrate that in simple 2 X 2 games (cumulative) prospect theorypreferences can be evolutionarily stable, i.e. a population of players withprospect theory preferences can not be invaded by more rational players. Thisholds also if probability weighting is applied to the probabilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868526
We study probabilities which determine the payo of barrier options:the probability that an asset hits a barrier before maturity, theprobability that the asset is below the barrier at maturity, and theratio of both probabilities. The correct estimation of these probabilitieshas crucial eects on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868527
We study the influence of systematic probability misestimation on complexfinancial investment decisions on the context of structured financialproducts. Structured products have in recent years become more and morecomplex. We study the question whether this complexity might be a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868835
We study how the framework of classical game theory changes whenthe preferences of the players are described by Prospect Theory (PT)and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) instead of Expected UtilityTheory. Specically, we study the inuence of framing eects and probabilityweighting on the existence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005869074