We develop a continuous time general equilibrium yield curve model under ambiguity aversion. A moderate level of ‘aggregate ambiguity’ affects significantly the term structure and can drive the prices of common interest rate derivatives toward the patterns observed in fixed income markets....

This paper studies the term structure implications of a simple structural economy in which the representative agent displays ambiguity aversion, modeled by Multiple Priors Recursive Utility. Bond excess returns reflect a premium for ambiguity, which is observationally distinct from the risk...

We derive a formula for the expected return on a stock in terms of the risk-neutral variance of the market and the stock's excess risk-neutral variance relative to the average stock. These quantities can be computed from index and stock option prices; the formula has no free parameters. The...

This paper investigates potential sources of return to speculators in the commodity futures market. Initially, we focus on “classic commodity theory” based on the ideas of Keynes (1930), Hicks (1939, 1946), Kaldor (1939), Working (1948, 1949) and Brennan (1958). Next our study examines...

The recent increase of interest rate spreads in Europe and their apparent detachment from underlying fundamental variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see De Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We critically evaluate this hypothesis, by pointing towards an...

The recent increase of interest rate spreads in Europe and their apparent detachment from underlying fundamental variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We critically evaluate this hypothesis, by pointing towards an...

The recent increase of interest rate spreads in Europe and their apparent detachment from underlying fundamental variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see De Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We critically evaluate this hypothesis, by pointing towards an...

This paper develops a general equilibrium model to study the link between real investments and the term structure of interest rates. In the model, agents' decisions on consumption and investments with short and long term horizons determine the dynamics of the term structure in equilibrium. I...