Introduction -- Adjusting principal component analysis for model errors / Nicola Carcano -- Alternative models for hedging yield curve risk : an empirical comparison / Nicola Carcano and Hakim Dallo -- Applying error-adjusted hedging to corporate bond portfolios / Giovanni Barone-Adesi, Nicola...

By examining data on the gold forward offered rate (GOFO) and lease rates over the period 1996- 2009, we conclude that the convenience yield of gold is better approximated by the lease rate than the interest-adjusted spread of Fama amp; French (1983). Using the latter quantity, we study the...

The problem of market predictability can be decomposed into two parts: predictive models and predictors. At first, we show how the joint employment of model selection and machine learning models can dramatically increase our capability to forecast the equity premium out-of-sample. Secondly, we...

Market efficiency and the pricing kernel are closely related. A non-monotonic decreasing pricing kernel implies the existence of a trading strategy in contingent claims that stochastically dominates a direct investment in the market. Moreover, a market is assumed to be efficient only if no...

Using option market data we derive naturally forward-looking, nonparametric and model-free risk estimates, three desired characteristics hardly obtainable using historical returns. The option-implied measures are only based on the first derivative of the option price with respect to the strike...