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We suggest a simple asset market model in which we analyze competitive and strategic behavior simultaneously. If two-fund separation is found to hold across periods for competitive behavior, it also holds for strategic behavior. In this case the relative prices of the assets do not depend on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858107
This paper contributes to the micro-foundation of money in centralizedmarkets with idiosyncratic uncertainty. It shows existence of stationarymonetary equilibria and ensures that there is an optimum quantity ofmoney. The rational solution of our model is compared with actual be-havior in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858589
We explain excess volatility, short-term momentum and long-term reversal of asset prices by a repeated game version of Keynes beauty contest. In every period the players can either place a buy or sell order on the asset market. The actual price movement is determined by average market orders and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859323
This paper studies an application of a Darwinian theory of portfolioselection to stocks listed in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).We analyze numerically the long-run outcome of the competition offix-mix portfolio rules in a stock market with actual DJIA dividends.In the model seemingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858308
There is an extensive literature claiming that it is often difficultto make use of arbitrage opportunities in financial markets. Thispaper provides a new reason why existing arbitrage opportunitiesmight not be seized. We consider a world with short-lived securities,no short-selling constraints...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858363
Markowitz and Sharpe won the Nobel Prize in Economics more than a decade ago for the development of Mean-Variance analysis and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). In the year 2002, Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in Economics for the development of Prospect Theory. Can these two apparently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858578
Under the assumption of normally distributed returns, we analyzewhether the Cumulative Prospect Theory of Tversky and Kahneman (1992)is consistent with the Capital Asset Pricing Model. We find that in everyfinancial market equilibrium the Security Market Line Theorem holds.However, under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858756
This paper shows that a stock market is evolutionary stable if andonly if stocks are evaluated by expected relative dividends. Any othermarket can be invaded by portfolio rules that will gain market wealthand hence change the valuation. In the model the valuation of assetsis given by the wealth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858757
The paper investigates the effect of interest rate policy on price bubbles, trading behavior, and portfolio choice in experimental stock markets. In a series of experiments, participants trade an asset over 15 periods. Alternatively, the participants can invest money in interest-bearing bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859101
Tobin (1958) has argued that in the face of potential capital losses on bonds it is reasonable to hold cash as a means to transfer wealth over time. It is shown that this assertion cannot be sustained taking into account the evolution of wealth of cash holders versus non cash holders. Cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859324