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Equi-spaced sampling is the norm in applied work using high-frequency data. Due to trade intermittency, however, this traditional sampling scheme amounts to implicit random sampling. Under implicit random sampling and on continuous trajectories, we quantify the asymptotic biases of even realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254687
Representation of continuous-time ARMA, CARMA, models is reviewed. Computational aspects of simulating and calculating the likelihood-function of CARMA are summarized. Some numerical properties are illustrated by simulations. Some real data applications are shown. -- CARMA ; maximum-likelihood ;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009685469
In evaluating prediction models, many researchers flank comparative ex-ante prediction experiments by significance tests on accuracy improvement, such as the Diebold-Mariano test. We argue that basing the choice of prediction models on such significance tests is problematic, as this practice may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009685472
In this paper we propose a simple extension to the panel case of the covariate-augmented Dickey Fuller (CADF) test for unit roots developed in Hansen (1995). The extension we propose is based on a p-values combination approach that takes into account cross-section dependence. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009686159
We introduce a new approach for the estimation of high-dimensional factor models with regime-switching factor loadings by extending the linear three-pass regression filter to settings where parameters can vary according to Markov processes. The new method, denoted as Markov-switching three-pass...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637435
In many, if not most, econometric applications, it is impossible to estimate consistently the elements of the white-noise process or processes that underlie the DGP. A common example is a regression model with heteroskedastic and/or autocorrelated disturbances,where the heteroskedasticity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774249
This paper extends recent research on the behaviour of the t-statistic in a long-horizon regression (LHR). We assume that the explanatory and dependent variables are generated according to the following models: a linear trend stationary process, a broken trend stationary process, a unit root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008656734
This paper uses Monte Carlo techniques to assess the loss in terms of forecast accuracy which is incurred when the true DGP exhibits parameter instability which is either overlooked or incorrectly modelled. We find that the loss is considerable when a FCM is estimated instead of the true TVCM,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728979
This article is devoted to the problem of the detection of overt or tacit collusion equilibrium in the context of the choice of the appropriate econometric method, a choice that is determined by the amount of information that the observer possesses. The author addresses this problem in two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009514728
In applied econometrics researchers often infer the relation among nonstationary time series by regression of their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734590