We present a multivariate, non-parametric technique for constructing reliable daily VaR predictions for individual assets belonging to a common equity market segment, which takes also into account the possible dependence structure between the assets and is still computationally feasible in large...

We propose a local likelihood estimation for the log-transformed ARCH(1) model in the financial field. Our nonparametric estimator is constructed within the likelihood framework for non-Gaussian observations: it is different from standard kernel regression smoothing, where the innovations are...

One of the most enduring questions in finance is the persistence of investment risk across time. Traditional finance lacks of recipes on how to approach and how to hedge non-diversifiable risks. Risks that can not be diversified at a given point in time can nevertheless be averaged over time...

We present a geometric approach to discrete time multiperiod mean variance portfolio opti-mization that largely simplifies the mathematical analysis and the economic interpretation of such model settings. We show that multiperiod mean variance optimal policies can be decom-posed in an orthogonal...

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision ("the Committee") released a consultative document that included a regulatory capital charge for operational risk. Since the release of the document, the complexity of the concept of "operational risk" has led to vigorous and recurring discussions. We...

It is common practice to describe the future evolution of a financial profit by a continuous-time stochastic model. A risk measure can then be viewed as a functional on a space of continuous-time stochastic processes. We extend the notions of coherent and convex risk measures to the space of...

This paper systematically analyses the market for syndicated loans over the period from 1982 till 2000. A sub-sample of high-information loans is studied over the period from 1982 until 2000. Aspects such as market credit quality, average spreads, average tenors and other market characteristics...

This paper presents a general equilibrium currency crisis model of the ’thirdgeneration’, in which the possibility of currency crises is driven by the in-terplay between private firms’ credit-constraints and nominal price rigidities.Despite our emphasis on microfoundations, the model remains...

This paper is about contagion and interdependence among Central European economies. It investigates the extent to which country-specific shocks spread across these countries beyond the normal channels of interdependence, taking into account common external shocks. To model such shocks, we make...

Conventional time series analysis, focusing exclusively on a time series at a given scale, lacks the ability to explain the nature of the data generating process. A process equation that successfully explains daily price changes, for example, is unable to characterize the nature of hourly price...