Löffler, Gunter; Maurer, Alina - Sonderforschungsbereich Ökonomisches Risiko <Berlin> - 2009
A firm’s current leverage ratio is one of the core characteristicsof credit quality used in statistical default prediction models. Based on thecapital structure literature, which shows that leverage is mean-reverting to atarget leverage, we forecast future leverage ratios and include them in...