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In general, the properties of the conditional distribution of multiple period returns do not follow easily from the one-period data generating process. This renders computation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall for multiple period returns a non-trivial task. In this paper we consider some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155481
The recent deregulation in electricity markets worldwide has heightened the importance of risk management in energy markets. Assessing Value-at-Risk (VaR) in electricity markets is arguably more difficult than in traditional financial markets because the distinctive features of the former result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157127
A flexible framework for the analysis of tail events is proposed. The framework contains tail moment measures that allow for Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation. Connecting the implied tail thickness of a family of distributions with the quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854818
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191435
Energy markets are strategic to governments and economic development. Several commodities compete as substitutable energy sources and energy diversifiers. Such competition reduces the energy vulnerability of countries as well as portfolios' risk exposure. Vulnerability results mainly from price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913058
This paper poses a new methodology to estimate the required economic capital for a retail-credit portfolio. The methodology is based on both the general copula concepts and some core results from the extreme value theory (EVT). The main results support the fact that the proposed methodology is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014188177
Extreme value theory is concerned with the study of the asymptotical distribution of extreme events, that is to say events which are rare in frequency and huge with respect to the majority of observations. Statistical methods derived from this theory have been increasingly employed in finance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111271
This chapter deals with the estimation of risk neutral distributions for pricing index options resulting from the hypothesis of the risk neutral valuation principle. After justifying this hypothesis, we shall focus on parametric estimation methods for the risk neutral density functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281587
This chapter deals with the estimation of risk neutral distributions for pricing index options resulting from the hypothesis of the risk neutral valuation principle. After justifying this hypothesis, we shall focus on parametric estimation methods for the risk neutral density functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663375
Transaction-cost models in continuous-time markets are considered. Given that investors decide to buy or sell at certain time instants, we study the existence of trading strategies that reach a certain final wealth level in continuous-time markets, under the assumption that transaction costs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308467