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Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean-variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This chapter reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset-pricing models where lagged variables serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023859
Based on intraday data for a large cross section of individual stocks, we find that the risk component of stock returns exhibits strong intraday momentum, and this pattern holds from previous market close to 10:00, and every half hour since then until market close at 16:00. Strikingly, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295372
Households face earnings risk which is non-normal and varies by age and over the income distribution. We show that allowing for these rich features of earnings dynamics, in the context of a structurally estimated life-cycle portfolio choice model, helps to rationalize the limited participation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278693
Momentum stocks have a bimodal distribution in the US market, i.e., winners tend to become losers and vice versa. We investigate the existence of bimodality and the profitability of deep momentum, a machine learning return prediction model designed to address bimodality, in the UK, Japan, China,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354790
This study examines whether the residual momentum effect is actually at play in the Japanese stock market. The results confirm that the effects of residual momentum are not significant after adjusting for short-term and long-term reversal effects. We, therefore, establish that there is a problem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344753
We document profitable cross-sectional and time-series momentum in a broad set of 56 option factors constructed from monthly sorts on daily delta-hedged option positions. Option factor returns are highly autocorrelated, but momentum profits of strategies with longer formation periods are mainly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348978
Which pricing kernel restrictions are needed to make low dimensional Markov models consistent with given sets of predictions on aggregate stock-market fluctuations? This paper develops theoretical test conditions addressing this and related reverse engineering issues arising within a fairly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728986
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002068640
The goal of this paper is to assess, for the first time, the empirical impact of "Kaynes' beauty contest", or "higher order belief", on asset price volatility. The paper shows that heterogeneous expectations induce higher order beliefs and that heterogeneous expectation asset pricing models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857785
We determine the importance of long-term and short-term components of state variables for asset allocation decisions. The long-term and short-term decompositions are performed using a variety of filtering techniques. We allow for a flexible semiparametric form of the dependence of asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326432