This paper explores a range of simple models to study the relationship between global temperature anomalies and climate forcings. In particular, we consider quantile regression models with potentially time-varying parameters (TVP), implemented by Bayesian methods. In its most general...

HRISHIKESH D. VINOD, PhD, is Director of the Institute for Ethics and Economic Policy and Professor of Economics at Fordham University in New York. He is also a Fellow of the International Institute of Public Ethics and of the Journal of Econometrics. DERRICK P. REAGLE, PhD, is Associate Chair...

An innovative guide that identifies what distinguishes the best financial risk takers from the rest From 1987 to 1992, a small group of Wall Street quants invented an entirely new way of managing risk to maximize success: risk management for risk-takers. This is the secret that lets tiny...

A critical look at the risk measurement tool that has repeatedly hurt the financial world The Number That Killed Us finally tells the "greatest story never told": how a mysterious financial risk measurement model has ruled the world for the past two decades and how it has repeatedly, and...

Value-at-Risk has emerged as the standard tool for measuring and reporting financial market risk. Currently, more than eighty commercial vendors offer enterprise or trading risk management systems that provide VAR-like measures. Risk managers are therefore often left with the daunting task of...

This text examines the complex issues that concern the stability of the global financial system by presenting a mix of theory and practice. It should be essential reading for all involved in financial risk management

Introduces a powerful new approach to financial risk modeling with proven strategies for its real-world applications The 2008 credit crisis did much to debunk the much touted powers of Value at Risk (VaR) as a risk metric. Unlike most authors on VaR who focus on what it can do, in this book the...

Intro -- Series -- Title page -- Copyright -- Dedication -- Lists of Spreadsheets -- Lists of Appendices -- Acknowledgements -- About the Author -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Global Financial Crisis -- 2.1 Pre-crisis -- 2.2 The crisis -- 2.3 Regulatory reform -- 2.4 Backlash and criticisms -- 2.5 A...