represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic …

from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed …

Michigan Surveys of Consumers. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data …I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused …

, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …

for inflation. We find that these forecasts do not contain the intended information. Rather, they either have no …

for inflation. We find that these forecasts do not contain the intended information. Rather, they either have no … forecasts ; Bank of England inflation forecasts …

for inflation. We find that these forecasts do not contain the intended information. Rather, they either have no …

models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high …For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …