Following a positive shock, financing constraints will prolong or impede economic expansionthat would have been optimal in an unconstrained environment. The study ofdynamic adjustment therefore offers a direct way of verifying the presence of financingconstraints and assessing their consequences...

While some of the recent surge of oil prices can be attributed to robust global demandat a time of tight production capacities, commentators occasionally also blame theimpact of speculators for part of the price pressure. We propose an empirical oil market model with heterogeneous speculators....

Understanding adjustment processes has become central in economics. Empirical analysisis fraught with the problem that the target is usually unobserved. This paper develops,simulates and applies GMM methods for estimating dynamic adjustment models ina panel data context with partially unobserved...

Busniess cycle models with sticky prices and endegenous firm entry make novel predictions on the transmission of shocks through the extensive margin of investment. This paper tests some of these predictions using a vector autoregression with model-based sign restrictions. [...]

How does international financial integration a

The paper presents a comprehensive data set of all bonds issued by the sixteenGerman states (Länder) since 1992. It thus provides a complete picture of acapital market comparable in size to funds raised in the German fixed incomemarket for corporations. The quantitative analysis reveals that...

Financial globalisation has been associated with divergent current account patterns inemerging market economies. While countries in emerging Asia have been runningsizeable current account surpluses, countries in emerging Europe have been facing largecurrent account deficits. In this paper we...

In this papaer, we put DSGE forecasts in competition with factor forecasts. We focus on these two models since they represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic background; the factor model on the other hand is mainly...

This paper analyzes the effectiveness of thin-capitalization rules in preventing debt financeby intercompany loans and explores their consequences for corporate decisions. A theoreticaldiscussion emphasizes that limitations of the deduction of interest owed to foreign afiliateswould not only...

This paper investigates the returns and flows of German money marketfunds before and during the liquidity crisis of 2007/2008. The mainfindings of this paper are: In liquid times money market funds enhancedtheir returns by investing in less liquid papers. By doing so they outperformedother funds...