Assessments of investors’ risk appetite/aversion stance via indicators often yields resultswhich seem unsatisfactory (see e.g. Illing and Aaron (2005)). Understanding howsuch indicators work therefore seems essential for further improvements. The presentpaper seeks to contribute to this...

From a banking supervisory perspective, this paper analyses aspects of market risk of anaggregated trading portfolio comprised of the trading books of 11 German banks with aregulatory approved internal market risk model. Based on real, clean prot and loss dataand Value-at-Risk estimates of the...

Recent data show substantial increases in the size of gross external asset and liabilitypositions. The implications of these developments for optimal conduct of monetarypolicy are analyzed in a standard open economy model which is augmented to allowfor endogenous portfolio choice. The model...

Cross-country capital flows have increased greatly, since the liberalization of internationalcapital markets two decades ago. Equity home bias, while less severe than earlier, remains sizeableand is observed in all industrialized countries. There are broadly two classes of explanations for...

Many European countries restrict immigration from new EU member countries. The rationaleis to avoid adverse wage and employment eects. We quantify these eects forGermany. Following Borjas (2003), we estimate a structural model of labor demand,based on elasticities of substitution between workers...

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclicalinterdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in oursample into three groups—industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developingeconomies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...

We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007in a traditional Phillips curve framework. We decompose output gaps and changes in unitlabor costs into common (or global) and idiosyncratic components using a factor analysis andintroduce these components...

This paper investigates the role of corporate taxation with respect to a multinational'sinvestment decision, in which the multinational can pursue either a direct or an indirectinvestment strategy. The latter involves at least three corporate entities and opens upenhanced opportunities for...

Macroeconomic risk assessments play an important role in the forecasts of manyinstitutions. However, to the best of our knowledge their performance has notbeen investigated yet. In this work, we study the Bank of England’s risk forecastsfor inflation. We find that these forecasts do not...

Aggregated output in industrialized countries has become less volatile over the pastdecades. Whether this “Great Moderation” can be found in firm level data as wellremains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility using abalanced panel dataset on German firms that...