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. I experimentally test this mechanism and find behaviour consistent with its predictions. The experiment created a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901924
The probability triangle (also called the Marschak-Machina triangle) allows for compact and intuitive depictions of risk preferences. Here, we develop an analogous tool for choice under uncertainty - the ambiguity triangle - and show that indifference curves in this triangle capture preferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289313
It is shown how to test revealed preference data on choices under uncertainty for consistency with first and second order stochastic dominance (FSD or SSD). The axiom derived for SSD is a necessary and sufficient condition for risk aversion. If an investor is risk averse, stochastic dominance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014175928
of punishment. This paper presents the first controlled experiment to study a third important factor that has been mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438420
Decision and risk analysts have considerable discretion in designing procedures for eliciting subjective probabilities … experts in decision analysis are susceptible to this bias (Study 5). We relate our work to previous research on the "pruning …, demand effects) cannot fully account for partition dependence. We conclude by discussing implications for decision analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063777
In binary choice between discrete outcome lotteries, an individual may prefer lottery 1 L to lottery 2 L when the probability that 1 L delivers a better outcome than 2 L is higher than the probability that 2 L delivers a better outcome than 1 L. Such a preference can be rationalized by three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065926
In binary choice between discrete outcome lotteries, an individual may prefer lottery L1 to lottery L2 when the probability that L1 delivers a better outcome than L2 is higher than the probability that L2 delivers a better outcome than L1. Such a preference can be rationalized by three standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066999
Decision and risk analysts have considerable discretion in designing procedures for eliciting subjective probabilities … or may not disappear) with increased domain knowledge (Studies 3 & 4), and that top experts in decision analysis are … implications for decision-analysis practice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070400
We replicate the essentials of the Huettel et al. (2006) experiment on choice under uncertainty with 30 Yale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014189074
our theory in a laboratory experiment with a search game to track subjects' behavior and use a multiple price list and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082556