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The estimation of an ordered probit model for currency reforms trying to end 31 hyperinflations and three big inflations of the 20th century shows that the introduction of an independent central bank and the adoption of a credibly fixed exchange rate are crucial for the success of a currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003666987
We examine how the interaction between monetary policy and macroeconomic conditions affects inflation uncertainty in the … long-term. The unobservable inflation uncertainty is quantified by means of the slowly evolving long-term variance component … of inflation in the framework of the Spline-GARCH model (Engle and Rangel, 2008). For a cross-section of 13 developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425581
In this study, we examine how the interaction between monetary policy and macroeconomic conditions affects inflation … uncertainty in the long-term. The unobservable inflation uncertainty is quantified by means of the slowly evolving unconditional … variance component of inflation in the framework of the semiparametric Spline-GARCH model (Engle and Rangel, 2008). For a cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486628
The estimation of an ordered probit model for currency reforms trying to end 31 hyperinflations and three big inflations of the 20th century shows that the introduction of an independent central bank and the adoption of a credibly fixed exchange rate are crucial for the success of a currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390618
going insolvent if they want to maintain control over inflation. In this paper, we analyze how such constraints can weigh on … have done absent such concerns. We detail under which conditions such reasoning can apply for a traditional inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889852
The Federal Reserve's objective, namely the dovish stance, is often blamed for the Great Inflation. A popular proxy for … the former is constructed based on the inflation coefficients in estimated Taylor rules. However, for a welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843608
performance in managing inflation and output volatility. Our sample covers major OECD countries in the 1999 to 2010 period. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079239
Central banks in most advanced economies have reacted similarly to the increase in inflation that started in 2021. They … initially looked through the rising inflation by leaving monetary policy relatively unchanged. Then, after inflation continued … aiming to anchor drifting inflation expectations. Why might central banks want to look through supply-driven inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370504
The estimation of an ordered probit model for currency reforms trying to end 31hyperinflations and three big inflations of the 20th century shows that the introduction of anindependent central bank and the adoption of a credibly fixed exchange rate are crucial for the successof a currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025045
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489