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Ausgangspunkt sind die bekannten empirischen Verstöße gegen Axiome der Bernoulli-Rationalität und die Diskussion um seine präskriptive Ausschließlichkeit. Der Beitrag teilt Nichterwartungsnutzenkalküle in Kategorien ein, die sich für eine Modellierung unterschiedlicher Arten von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009005121
uncertainty on the ?market for lemons? of Akerlof (1970) to ?quality ambiguity? with credence goods. The model shows the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342061
control theory to the so-called multiplier and constraint preferences that have been used to express ambiguity aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025622
We propose a class of multiple-prior representations of preferences under ambiguity where the belief the decision … Optimism. The model does not restrict the sign of the DM's ambiguity attitude, and we show that it provides a unified framework … through which to characterize different degrees of ambiguity aversion, as well as to represent context-dependent negative and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064758
This paper analyzes dynamic choice for ambiguity-sensitive decision makers. It demonstrates that unambiguous behavioral … sophisticated MEU preferences are then used to analyze the value of information under ambiguity; a basic trade-off between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691151
depart from the sure thing principle and model the phenomenon of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
This paper extends Savage's subjective approach to probability and utility from decision problems under exogenous uncertainty to choice in strategic environments. Interactive uncertainty is modeled both explicitly, using hierarchies of preference relations, the analogue of beliefs hierarchies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700273
Following Kreps (1979), I consider a decision maker who is uncertain about her future taste. This uncertainty leaves the decision maker with a preference for flexibility: When choosing among menus containing alternatives for future choice, she weakly prefers menus with additional alternatives....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011686674
differences lies in the dichotomy between first-order and second-order ambiguity aversion which I define here. My definition and …-order ambiguity aversion a positive exposure to ambiguity is optimal if and only if there is a subjective belief such that the actś … expected outcome is positive. With first-order ambiguity aversion, zero exposure to ambiguity can be optimal. Examples in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349377
investigate how informational ambiguity in conjunction with waves of optimism and pessimism affect investor behavior, social … learning and price dynamics. Without ambiguity, neither herding nor contrarianism is possible. If there is ambiguity and agents … have invariant ambiguity preferences, only contrarianism is possible. If on the other hand ambiguity is high and traders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452902