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Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
The New-Keynesian Taylor-Rule model of inflation determination with no role for money is incomplete. As Cochrane (2007a … inflation misbehaved. Thus we answer the criticisms levelled at the Taylor Rule that it has no credible mechanism for ruling out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288779
importance of modelling a system that includes the forcing variables as well as the rate of inflation is emphasized. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284235
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305090
This paper presents a new mechanism through which monetary policy rules affect inflation persistence. When assuming … the traditional demand channel of monetary transmission have a long-lasting effect on inflation dynamics. The Calvo model … around positive trend inflation. With realistic calibration of trend inflation and the monetary policy rule, the model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008906075
Harry Johnson's 1971 ideas about the factors affecting the success of the Keynesian Revolution and the Monetarist Counter-revolution are summarised and extended to the analysis of the Rational Expectations - New Classical (RE-NC) Revolution It is then argued that, whereas Monetarism brought...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765542
output and inflation, as observed in a vectorautoregression analysis. In contrast to backward indexation to past inflation …, which is often assumed in the literature, sticky information leads to a hump-shaped response in the inflation of flexibly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517128
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
The long-run relation between growth and inflation has not yet been studied in the context of nominal price and wage … integrate staggered price- and wage-setting into an endogenous growth framework. In this setting, growth and inflation are … linked via the incentive to innovate. For standard calibrations, the linkage is strong: as trend inflation shifts from -5 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103408
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916