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alternates between periods of deflation coupled with low output and periods of high economic activity with excessive inflation …. More generally, initial beliefs that are arbitrarily close to the inflation target equilibrium can result in complex … helps stabilize expectations around the inflation target equilibrium. -- Monetary policy ; nonlinear dynamics ; learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781685
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003896762
) the estimated policy rule becomes more inertial and less aggressive towards inflation; (ii) the ECB is confronted with a … more severe trade-off in the stabilization of inflation and the output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125617
following a convex fashion, combining the latter with an inflation targeting objective could be beneficial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843520
I study the optimal type of forward guidance in a flexible-price economy in which both the private sector and the central bank are subject to imperfect information about the aggregate state of the economy. In this case, forward guidance changes the private sector's expectations about both future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859551
Inflation targeting is strictly suboptimal when economic actors have incomplete information about the state of the … ask what monetary policy rule is optimal. In contrast to sticky price or sticky information models, inflation and price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933106
government can also use an inflation contract, an employment target, an inflation target, or any combination of these to control … the central banker. The key feature of our model is a stochastic inflation bias, arising when wage setters receive some … state-contingent delegation is not possible and the stochastic inflation bias cannot be eliminated by optimal choice of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012749791
This paper compares the link between exchange rates and interest rates under full information and two alternative asymmetric information approaches. It also distinguishes between cases of expansionary and contractionary depreciations. Full information results are not robust to the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317653
The optimal weights on indicators in models with partial information about the state of the economy and forward-looking variables are derived and interpreted, both for equilibria under discretion and under commitment. An example of optimal monetary policy with a partially observable potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320325
Although it is generally accepted that consumer confidence measures are informative signals about the state of the economy, theoretical macroeconomic models designed for the analysis of monetary policy typically do not provide a role for them. I develop a framework with asymmetric information in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269096