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Accruals are the non-cash component of earnings. They represent adjustments made to cash flows to generate a profit measure largely unaffected by the timing of receipts and payments of cash. Prior research uncovers two anomalies: expected returns increase in profitability and decrease in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025204
Aggregate dividend growth is widely thought to be unpredictable by the dividend price ratio. I show that this lack of predictability is related to the measurement of dividends. If M&A cash flows are taken into account, the adjusted R2 from a regression of dividend growth on the dividend price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026391
In this paper, we establish a theoretical relationship between earnings components and future stock returns. It shows the informational role of earnings, cash flows and accruals in predicting future stock returns and the key role played by the earnings response coefficient. It also suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987940
Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988560
Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988890
We propose a technique to infer cash flow yields for investment assets whose trades are infrequent, but for which cash flow data is available. We construct a Self-Propagating Rolling-Window Panel VAR framework, adapted from a Dynamic Gordon Growth Model setup. We use this framework to estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044726
The paper discusses how some of the main types of interaction between financing and value can be incorporated in the discounted cash flow model of valuation, including effects arising from taxes, transactions costs, disclosure, information asymmetry and agency problems. It explains whether a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045492
This study investigates whether and how the deviation of cash flow rights (ownership) from voting rights (control), or simply the ownership-control wedge, influences the likelihood that extreme negative outliers occur in stock return distributions, which we refer to as stock price crash risk. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925669
To value shares there are two usual methods that, if properly applied, provide the same value: 1/ Present value of expected free cash flows (FCF) discounted with the WACC rate and then, subtract the value of debt; and 2/ Present value of expected equity cash flows (ECF) discounted with the Ke...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704170
This paper presents a real valuation performed by a well-known investment bank, with two common errors and with two very different values for the equity of a firm:a) €6,9 million calculating the Present Value of expected free cash flows (FCF) discounted with the WACC rate and then, subtracting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704176