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In this paper, we establish a theoretical relationship between earnings components and future stock returns. It shows the informational role of earnings, cash flows and accruals in predicting future stock returns and the key role played by the earnings response coefficient. It also suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987940
This note discusses the choices involved in estimating sustainable normalized operating free cash flow, which is the single most important driver of enterprise value. Being able to make a well-justified estimate of sustainable free cash flow is a basic skill in enterprise valuation. Heinz in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988392
Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988560
Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988890
minus overvalued) but is not significant in cheap junk minus expensive quality stocks. If cash-flow beta is the source of … the value premium, we would expect a larger cash-flow beta difference between the cheap quality and expensive junk … that the cash flow beta may only spuriously explain the value premium. Or, at least, the cash-flow risk premium estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911648
The relative contributions of cash flow and discount rate news to the conditional variance of market returns exhibit significant variation over time. We identify lagged changes in PPI inflation as the main macroeconomic determinant of this time variation. Cash flow betas of value stocks increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902077
Fama and French (2006) decompose the valuation equation into the book to market ratio (BM), profitability and investment to estimate expected returns. In this paper, I attempt to integrate information from the valuation equation into one variable, net cash flow yield (NCFY), to capture expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903101
The net income of a company in a given year is an arbitrary number which depends on several decisions on the accounting of expenses and revenues. By contrast, each cash flow (money going out of the cash of the company into someone's pocket: shareholders, debt owners...) is a single number not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903900
Company valuation using discounted cash flows is based on the valuation of the Government bonds: it consists of applying the procedure used to value the Government bonds to the debt and shares of a company. This is easy to understand (sections 1, 2 and 3). But company valuation is complicated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905582
The WACC is just the rate at which the Free Cash Flows must be discounted to obtain the same result as in the valuation using Equity Cash Flows discounted at the required return to equity (Ke).The WACC is neither a cost nor a required return: it is a weighted average of a cost and a required...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906072