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, welfare will be lower with a conservative than with a liberal central bank. We reframe this discussion in a standard trade … the central bank less conservative than society, however, if the outside option is in real terms. As the nominal … always optimal if the government can choose the level of nominal unemployment benefits as well as the degree of central bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399704
factors that constrain financial intermediation. Additional efforts, in particular in bank restructuring, credit instrument …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399707
activity is costly and the non-tradable sector is highly dependent on domestic bank credit, as in most emerging market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399715
Using data on long-term interest rates for 17 industrial countries, this paper develops some simple measures of monetary policy credibility and then tests if such measures improve the out-of-sample forecasts of conventional models of the inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399723
analyzes crisis periods. Two variables gauge the stance of monetary policy: the growth of central bank domestic credit and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399781
Under a monetary dominant (MD) regime, the primary surplus adjusts to limit debt growth, permitting monetary policy to be conducted independently of fiscal financing requirements. In Brazil, some evidence favors an MD regime for 1995–97, but not for the decade of the 1990s as a whole. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399808
This paper analyzes broad money demand (M2) in Guyana from January 1990 to September 1999; a period marked by deep transformations aimed at shifting Guyana from a centralized to a market economy. The paper develops a stable error-correction model based on a long-run cointegrating vector of money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399832
strong case for central bank independence, more work should be done in the area of determining the desirable degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399833
We analyse optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New-Keynesian model with public debt and inflation persistence. Leith and Wren-Lewis (2007) have shown that optimal discretionary policy is subject to a ''debt stabilization bias'' which requires debt to be returned to its pre-shock level. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399841
This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399871