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for the economy-inflation and devaluation. The purpose of the research is to analyze the socio-economic results of … inflation and devaluation in Georgia and to determine the main directions to overcome it. Due to study purposes was investigated … the causes of inflation and devaluation, as well as was examined its influence on economic development of the country and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835155
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835734
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic … quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by … distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time of forecasting is above or below the target. The forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544414
private sector inflation forecasts. But beyond the optimum people might: (1) start to attach too much weight to the … conditionality of their forecasts, and/or (2) get confused by the large and increasing amount of information they receive. This … deteriorates the (perceived) quality of private sector inflation forecasts. Inflation then is set in a more backward looking manner …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714128
The inability of central banks to attain their target inflation rates in recent years has raised questions about the … extent to which central banks can control the inflation process. This paper discusses the evolution of thought and evidence … since the 1960s on the determinants of inflation and the role that should be played by central banks. The paper highlights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012615951
Many central banks release inflation forecasts to reduce uncertainty; at the same time, an increasing number rely on a … publicly stated medium-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. We examine how the adoption of an inflation target … (IT) by a major central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), influenced the impact of its inflation forecasts on private sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249999
We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation within pre-specified bounds. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319941
policy meeting and use this information together with the Eurosystem/ECB staff macroeconomic projections to directly estimate … estimations, that the ECB has been either more averse to inflation above 2% ceiling or that the de facto inflation aim has been … considerably below 2%. Our results suggest further that an inflation aim of 2% combined with asymmetry is a plausible specification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239727
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic … quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by … distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time of forecasting is above or below the target. The forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508654