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We study international business cycles and capital flows in the UK, the United States and the Emerging Periphery in the period 1885-1939. Based on the same set of parameters, our model explains current account dynamics under both the Classical Gold Standard and during the Interwar period. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009741030
We demonstrate that the correlation of saving and investment is measured best by an error correction model (ECM), because theory implies a cointegrating relation between these variables. The ECM comprises all previous specifications as special cases, which are shown to be potentially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010220230
rationalize these patterns using a dynamic stochastic two-sector model of a small open economy facing borrowing constraints … reduce aggregate debt, making the economy resilient to adverse shocks. Differences in borrowing constraints and shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314997
This paper shows that general equilibrium effects can partly rationalize the high correlation between saving and investment rates observed in OECD countries. We find that once controlling for general equilibrium effects the saving-retention coefficient remains high in the 70's but decreases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316585
In a panel covering a large number of countries from 1970 to 2003, we show that net portfolio flows play an important role in correcting external imbalances, since they are driven by common determinants represented by countries' demographic profiles, the quality of institutions, monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317564
This paper reexamines Aizenman`s (1985) results on the effects of capital controls during unanticipated trade liberalization using an intertemporal optimizing monetary model. Unlike in Aizenman`s model, which is based on the currency substitution model, foreign money is an interest-bearing asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317728
This paper reviews the causes, consequences, and policy responses to large capital flows in several emerging markets. It opens by studying recent patterns of capital flows, and then discusses the causes of capital flows. Emphasis is given to the reasons behind the capital inflow episode in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317732
This paper extends the Dornbusch model of overshooting exchange rates to discuss both exchange rate and output effects of capital controls that involve additional costs for international asset transactions. We show that, on the one hand, such capital controls have the merit of reducing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317786
In an analytically tractable model of the global economy, we calculate the Pareto improvement where a country …. With capital inflows to finance the 'New Economy' significantly exceeding the current account deficit, however, we show … which appeal to financial factors to explain why the European economy was so strongly affected by the recent US downturn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318678
to shocks. We use a stylised two-bloc, two-period model of the global economy, with a simple stochastic productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319734