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Im folgenden soll versucht werden, empirische Evidenz zum Transmissionsmechanismus mit Hilfe monetärer Schocks zu generieren. Die quantitativen Auswirkungen der monetären Impulse werden mit Hilfe von Impuls-Antwort-Funktionen beschrieben, wobei die Impuls- Antwort-Funktionen auf einem VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323720
In this paper we construct model-free and model-based indicators for the inflation risk premium in the US and the euro area. We study the impact of market liquidity, surprises from inflation data releases, inflation volatility and deflation fears on the inflation risk premium. For our analysis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667209
We estimate time-varying expected excess returns on the US stock market from 1983 to 2008 using a model that jointly captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002766
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008517556
This paper investigates the link between the perceived inflation risks in macroeconomic forecasts and the inflation risk premia embodied in financial instruments. We first provide some stylized facts about the term structure of inflation compensation, inflation expectations and inflation risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008541293
Im folgenden soll versucht werden, empirische Evidenz zum Transmissionsmechanismus mit Hilfe monetärer Schocks zu generieren. Die quantitativen Auswirkungen der monetären Impulse werden mit Hilfe von Impuls-Antwort-Funktionen beschrieben, wobei die Impuls- Antwort-Funktionen auf einem VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008464617
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008464639
This paper provides a toolkit for extracting accurate information about inflation expectations using inflation-linked bonds. First, we show how to estimate term structures of zero-coupon real rates and break-even inflation rates (BEIRs) in the euro area. This improves the analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344866
The present paper focuses on three questions: (i) Are heavy tails a relevant feature of the distribution of BUND futures returns? (ii) Is the tail behaviour constant over time? (iii) If it is not, can we use the tail index as an indicator for financial market risk and does it add value in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227539
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005194362