A discrete-time model with staggered price setting is shown to be flexible enough to analyze a variety of scenarios in which policymakers may introduce disinflation. While a recession need not necessarily occur, a semicredible disinflation (i.e., when price setters believe a new lower money...

We use unique survey data from Bulgaria’s currency board to examine the reasons for persistent incomplete credibility of a financial stabilization regime. Although it produced remarkably positive effects in terms of sustained low inflation since 1997, the currency board has not achieved full...