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We propose to use the linearity-generating framework to accommodate the evidence of unspanned stochastic volatility: Variations in implied volatilities on interest-rate options such as caps and swaptions are independent of the variations on the interest rate term structure. Under this framework,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128248
We test a theory that provides a simple and robust linkage between the market prices of credit default swaps (CDS) and far out-of-the-money equity American put options on the same reference company. The linkage is established under a general class of stock price dynamics. We assume that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724942
We propose a direct and robust method for quantifying the variance risk premium on financial assets. We theoretically and numerically show that the risk-neutral expected value of the return variance, also known as the variance swap rate, is well approximated by the value of a particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732220
We propose a dynamically consistent framework that allows joint valuation and estimation of stock options and credit default swaps written on the same reference company. We model default as controlled by a Poisson process with a stochastic default arrival rate. When default occurs, the stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735205
Using sovereign CDS spreads and currency option data for Mexico and Brazil, we document that CDS spreads covary with both the currency option implied volatility and the slope of the implied volatility curve in moneyness. We propose a joint valuation framework, in which currency return variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735209
We document the behavior of over-the-counter currency option prices across moneyness, maturity, and calendar time on two of the most actively traded currency pairs over the past eight years. We find that on any given date, the conditional risk-neutral distribution of currency returns can show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735436
In 1993, the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) introduced the CBOE Volatility Index. This index has become the de facto benchmark for stock market volatility. On September 22, 2003, the CBOE revamped the definition and calculation of the volatility index, and back-calculated the new index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735784
We document a surprising pattern in Samp;P 500 option prices. When implied volatilities are graphed against a standard measure of moneyness, the implied volatility smirk does not flatten out as maturity increases up to the observable horizon of two years. This behavior contrasts sharply with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786515
This paper develops a new top-down valuation framework that links the pricing of an option investment to its daily profit and loss attribution. The framework uses the Black-Merton-Scholes option pricing formula to attribute the short-term option investment risk to variations in the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899702
We propose a direct and robust method for quantifying the variance risk premium on financial assets. We show that the risk-neutral expected value of return variance, also known as the variance swap rate, is well approximated by the value of a particular portfolio of options. We propose to use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757774