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Several statistical functionals such as quantiles and expectiles arise naturally as the minimizers of the expected value of a scoring function, a property that is called elicitability (see Gneiting, 2011 and the references therein). The existence of such scoring functions gives a natural way to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950616
A statistical functional is elicitable if it can be defined as the minimizer of a suitable expected scoring function (see Gneiting (2011), Ziegel (2013) and the references therein). With financial applications in view, we suggest a slightly more restrictive definition than Gneiting (2011), and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034984
We refine some criteria for the convex comparison of martingale densities suggested in Franke et al. (1999) and Bellini and Sgarra (2012). We give sufficient conditions for comparison based on the classical notion of comparative convexity. We apply these conditions to the case of minimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103576
We consider the problem of stochastic comparison of general Garch-like processes, for different parameters and different distributions of the innovations. We identify several stochastic orders that are propagated from the innovations to the Garch process itself, and discuss their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107661
We present a discrete time stochastic volatility model in which the conditional distribution of the logreturns is a Variance-Gamma, that is a normal variance-mean mixture with Gamma mixing density. We assume that the Gamma mixing density is time varying and follows an affine Garch model, trying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069151
We study the dependence structure between the S&P500, the VIX Index, and implicit Interexpectile Differences, that are an alternative measure of implied volatility based on the notion of implicit expectile, recently introduced in Bellini et al. (2018). After filtering the time series of the...
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