Frequently, seasonal and non-seasonal data (especially macro time series) are observed with noise. For instance, the time series can have irregular abrupt changes and interruptions following as a result of additive or temporary change outliers caused by external circumstances which are...

We examine some of the consequences on commonly used unit root tests when the underlying series is integrated of order two rather than of order one. It turns out that standard augmented Dickey-Fuller type of tests for a single unit root have excessive density in the explosive region of the...

The purpose of this paper is to characterize three commonly used double unit root tests in terms of their asymptotic local power. To this end, we study a class of nearly doubly integrated processes which in the limit will behave as a weighted integral of a double indexed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck...

In this paper long-run forecasting of multicointegrating variables is investigated. Multicointegration typically occurs in dynamic systems involving both stock and flow variables whereby a common feature in the form of shared stochastic trends is present across different levels of multiple time...

We examine some of the consequences on commonly used unit root tests when the underlying series is integrated of order two rather than of order one. It turns out that standard augmented Dickey-Fuller type of tests for a single unit root have excessive density in the explosive region of the...