We characterize generalized disappointment aversion (GDA) risk preferences that can overweight lower-tail outcomes relative to expected utility. We show in an endowment economy that recursive utility with GDA risk preferences generates effective risk aversion that is countercyclical. This...

that central banks incur for implementing Taylor rule type policies.

We investigate the dynamic portfolio problem of a market-maker for a derivative security whose preferences exhibit uncertainty aversion (Knightian uncertainty). The Choquet-expected utility implied by such preference is used to capture the feature that the trader is uncertain about which model...

Identification problems arise naturally in forward-looking models when agents observe more than economists. We illustrate the problem in several macro-finance models with Taylor rules. When the shock to the rule is observed by agents but not economists, identification of the rule's parameters...

This paper studies the time series behaviour of aggregate consumption and asset returns when the representative agent does not (necessarily) maximize the expected value of a von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index. By assuming that agent's intertemporal preferences over stochastic consumption...

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This paper investigates infinite horizon intertemporal utility functions which generalize the standard additive expected utility specification. Two classes of generalization are considered -- the first builds upon Kreps and Porteus (1978, 1979), while the second is a further generalization which...

This paper studies whether fiscal policy satisfies a borrowing constraint. Direct tests of the present-value constraint are rare, despite widespread discussion of the feasibility of current policy. We examine monthly data on Canadian federal government finances using tests for cointegration. We...

This paper investigates the testable restrictions on the time-series behaviour of consumption and asset returns implied by the consumption/portfolio choice problem of an infinitely-lived, representative agent. Intertemporal preferences are characterized by utility functions that generalize...