We develop FinText, a novel, state-of-the-art, financial word embedding from Dow Jones Newswires Text News Feed Database. Incorporating this word embedding in a machine learning model produces a substantial increase in volatility forecasting performance on days with volatility jumps for 23...

This paper examines, for the first time, the performance of machine learning models in realised volatility forecasting using big data sets such as LOBSTER limit order books and news stories from Dow Jones News Wires for 28 NASDAQ stocks over a sample period of July 27, 2007, to November 18,...

The recent financial crisis has accentuated the fact that extreme outcomes have been overlooked and not dealt with adequately. While extreme value theories have existed for a long time, the multivariate variant is difficult to handle in the financial markets due to the prevalent...

This article studies four transform pricing methods in the context of general equilibrium (GE) framework. The four methods, viz. the Esscher transform, indifference pricing, the Wang transform, and the standard deviation loading, are popular among actuarial literature and practice. The transform...

Abstract We present an application of importance sampling to multi-asset options under the Heston and the Bates models as well as to the Heston-Hull-White and the Heston-Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models. Moreover, we provide an efficient importance sampling scheme in a Multi-Level Monte Carlo...

In the finance literature, cross-sectional dependence in extreme returns of risky assets is often modelled implicitly assuming an asymptotically dependent structure. If the true dependence structure is asymptotically independent then current modelling approaches will lead to an over-estimation...

Financial market volatility is an important input for investment, option pricing and financial market regulation. In this review article, we compare the volatility forecasting findings in 72 papers published and written in the last decade. This article is written for general readers in...

This paper studies stock market returns in twelve countries with a special focus on Asian stocks and the Asian crisis. Under the turbulent conditions in 1997 and 1998, our approach is a conservative and cautious one. Specifically, we construct an international portfolio using a shortfall...

In early 1997, the Malaysian stock market index began a downward spiral together with stock markets of several ASEAN countries. On 14 July 1997, Bank Negara of Malaysia gave up the defence of the Malaysian ringgit after jacking up the short rate to 50% and spending US$10 billions on unsuccessful...

If returns on two assets share common volatility components, the prices of options on the assets should be interdependent and the implied volatility spread should mean revert. We, first demonstrate, using the canonical correlation method, that there is a common component among the volatilities...