To address the moral hazard problem that can motivate bank executives to take excessive risks and to fail to raise capital when needed, a group of 13 distinguished financial economists recommends that systemically important financial institutions be required to issue contingent convertible debt...

I construct a simple model with sticky prices and interest rate targets, closed by fiscal theory of the price level with long-term debt and fiscal and monetary policy rules. Fiscal surpluses rise following deficits, to repay accumulated debt, but surpluses do not respond to all values of...

Why are we seeing inflation? The government dropped about $5 trillion in people's bank accounts, a classic fiscal helicopter drop. Why did this one produce inflation? People do not believe this debt will be repaid. Will inflation continue? Whether we see a one-time price-level increase or...

"Proceedings from the 2022 Hoover Institution monetary policy conference examine recent inflation in the wake of fiscal and other shocks and measures by the Federal Reserve intended to counter inflation."

I analyze monetary policy with interest on reserves and a large balance sheet. I show that conventional theories do not determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected...

I analyze monetary policy with interest on reserves and a large balance sheet. I show that conventional theories do not determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected...

The fiscal theory says that the price level is determined by the ratio of nominal debt to the present value of real primary surpluses. I analyze long-term debt and optimal policy in the fiscal theory. I find that the maturity structure of the debt matters. For example, it determines whether news...

How should long-term investors form portfolios in our time-varying, multi-factor and friction-filled world? Two conceptual frameworks may help: First, look directly at the stream of payments that a portfolio and payout policy can produce. Second, include a general equilibrium view of the...

Preface / by John H. Cochrane and Tobias J. Moskowitz -- Introductions. My Life in Finance / Eugene F. Fama ; Things I've Learned from Gene Fama / Kenneth R. French ; Gene Fama's Impact: A Quantitative Analysis / G. William Schwert and René M. Stulz -- Efficient markets. Efficient Markets and...