Bordo, Michael D.; Humpage, Owen F.; Schwartz, Anna J. - In: International Journal of Central Banking 8 (2012) 1, pp. 127-160
If official interventions convey private information useful for price discovery in foreign exchange markets, then they should have value as a forecast of near-term exchange rate movements. Using a set of standard criteria, we show that approximately 60 percent of all U.S. foreign exchange...