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In competitive capital markets, risky debt claims that offer high yields in good times have high systematic risk exposure in bad times. We apply this idea to bank risk measurement. We find that banks with high accounting return on equity (ROE) prior to a crisis have higher systematic tail risk...
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We adapt structural models of default risk to take into account the special nature of bank assets. The usual assumption of log-normally distributed asset values is not appropriate for banks. Typical bank assets are risky debt claims, which implies that they embed a short put option on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479757
I analyze the effects of bank characteristics and macroeconomic shocks on interest rate risk-management behavior of commercial banks. My findings are consistent with hedging theories based on cost of financial distress and costly external financing. Banks with higher probability of financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735582
We find a positive cross-sectional relationship between expected stock returns and default risk, contrary to the negative relationship estimated by prior studies. Whereas prior studies use noisy ex post realized returns to estimate expected returns, we use ex ante estimates based on the implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707812
We undertake a broad-based study of the effect of managerial risk-taking incentives on corporate financial policies and show that CEOs' and CFOs' risk-taking incentives significantly influence their firms' financial policies. In particular, we find that CEOs' risk-decreasing (-increasing)...
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