We consider the response of both nominal and real commodity prices on world markets to real and nominal shocks by hypothesizing that nominal shocks can permanently affect nominal commodity prices, but can have only temporary effect on real commodity prices. Real shocks, in contrast, can have...

Using Australian capital city data from 1984Q3-2008Q2, this paper utilizes a dynamic present value model within a VAR framework to construct fundamental time series of house prices depicting what aggregate house prices should be given expectations of future real disposable income - the...

This paper studies actual house prices relative to fundamental house prices. Using UK data and a time-varying present value approach, we find that deviations of house prices from their fundamental value (as warranted by real disposable income) are significant but not dominated by speculative...