The mean variance efficiency (MVE) of a portfolio of international bonds and equities is tested using a CAPM model of excess returns. The conditional variances and covariances of the portfolio returns are allowed to time-vary according to shocks in up to three global macro-economic variables...

In this paper we compare a variety of technical trading rules in the context of investing in the S&P500 index. These rules are increasingly popular both among retail investors and CTAs and similar investment funds. We find that a range of fairly simple rules, including the popular 200-day moving...

In this paper we extend the research on the predictability of stock and bond markets to futures markets. By using stock and bond market forecasting variables we build ex ante models of the MATIF CAC 40 and DFB DAX stock index futures contracts. Since it is possible to construct a practical...

Recent US research has focused upon the linkages between net mutual fund flows and their impact upon aggregate equity market returns. If a positive feedback relationship exists between investment flows and stock returns then there also exists the possibility that a market downturn or crash will...

Several previous studies have focused upon seasonal patterns in the unconditional volatility of intraday and daily returns data. But these investigations could be misleading without considering a fuller structural model of the time series properties of return volatility. The seasonal pattern in...